Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: IF Karlstad to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIF Karlstad to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceIF Karlstad or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.97
IF Karlstad vs Arlanda preview and prediction
The match
Arlanda travel to Sola Arena in the Ettan Norra on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT) to face IF Karlstad. IF Karlstad are 7th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Arlanda sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four).
Form guide
IF Karlstad's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Piteå 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Arlanda's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Vasalund 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Arlanda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 June 2026, finished Arlanda 1–0 IF Karlstad.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for IF Karlstad and 0.8 for Arlanda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: IF Karlstad 62%, draw 23%, Arlanda 15%.
Safer route: IF Karlstad or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.62.
Value angle: IF Karlstad to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was IF Karlstad or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: IF Karlstad 1–0 Arlanda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IF Karlstad62%fair 1.60 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.20
Arlanda15%fair 6.78 · @3.90
2.72Expected goals
1.91IF Karlstad xG
0.81Arlanda xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: IF Karlstad 1.9 – 0.8 Arlanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for IF Karlstad vs Arlanda?
Our pick is IF Karlstad or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win IF Karlstad vs Arlanda?
On our numbers IF Karlstad have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arlanda 15%.
How many goals will there be in IF Karlstad vs Arlanda?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IF Karlstad vs Arlanda?
Our predicted score is IF Karlstad 1–0 Arlanda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is IF Karlstad vs Arlanda?
IF Karlstad vs Arlanda (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sola Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
