Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGefle IF to win ✗58% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Gefle IF vs Piteå preview and prediction
The match
Gefle IF host Piteå in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Gavlevallen. Gefle IF are 9th with 41 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Piteå sit 14th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gefle IF's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Enköping 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Piteå's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with IF Karlstad 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Piteå arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Piteå 0–2 Gefle IF.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Gefle IF and 1.1 for Piteå. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gefle IF 58%, draw 20%, Piteå 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gefle IF 1–1 Piteå. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gefle IF58%fair 1.73 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.30
Piteå22%fair 4.54 · @3.75
2.96Expected goals
1.90Gefle IF xG
1.06Piteå xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Gefle IF 1.9 – 1.1 Piteå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Gefle IF vs Piteå?
On our numbers Gefle IF have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Piteå 22%.
How many goals will there be in Gefle IF vs Piteå?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gefle IF vs Piteå?
Our predicted score is Gefle IF 1–1 Piteå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Gefle IF vs Piteå?
Gefle IF vs Piteå (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gavlevallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
