Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Arlanda to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArlanda to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Vasalund vs Arlanda preview and prediction
The match
Arlanda travel to Skytteholms IP in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 4 October (12:00 WAT) to face Vasalund. Vasalund are 13th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Arlanda sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vasalund's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Gefle IF 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Arlanda's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Enköping 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Arlanda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Arlanda 2–1 Vasalund.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Vasalund and 1.7 for Arlanda. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vasalund 35%, draw 22%, Arlanda 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Arlanda to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Vasalund 1–1 Arlanda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vasalund35%fair 2.87 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.10
Arlanda43%fair 2.31 · @2.50
3.17Expected goals
1.49Vasalund xG
1.68Arlanda xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Vasalund 1.5 – 1.7 Arlanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Vasalund vs Arlanda?
On our numbers Vasalund have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arlanda 43%.
How many goals will there be in Vasalund vs Arlanda?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasalund vs Arlanda?
Our predicted score is Vasalund 1–1 Arlanda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Vasalund vs Arlanda?
Vasalund vs Arlanda (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Skytteholms IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
