Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIF Karlstad to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceIF Karlstad or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Piteå vs IF Karlstad preview and prediction
The match
IF Karlstad travel to LF Arena in the Ettan Norra on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT) to face Piteå. Piteå are 14th with 27 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while IF Karlstad sit 7th on 45 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Piteå's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Assyriska FF 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
IF Karlstad's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Karlberg 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Piteå arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished IF Karlstad 2–1 Piteå.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Piteå and 1.9 for IF Karlstad. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Piteå 17%, draw 22%, IF Karlstad 60%.
Safer route: IF Karlstad or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was IF Karlstad to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Piteå 0–1 IF Karlstad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piteå17%fair 5.72 · @4.50
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.60
IF Karlstad60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
2.79Expected goals
0.91Piteå xG
1.88IF Karlstad xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Piteå 0.9 – 1.9 IF Karlstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is IF Karlstad to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Piteå vs IF Karlstad?
On our numbers Piteå have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and IF Karlstad 60%.
How many goals will there be in Piteå vs IF Karlstad?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piteå vs IF Karlstad?
Our predicted score is Piteå 0–1 IF Karlstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Piteå vs IF Karlstad?
Piteå vs IF Karlstad (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at LF Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
