Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Hammarby Talang to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHammarby Talang to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceHammarby Talang or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang preview and prediction
The match
Arlanda host Hammarby Talang in the Ettan Norra on Monday 21 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Midgardsvallen. Arlanda are 3rd with 54 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Hammarby Talang sit 5th on 52 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Arlanda's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Gefle IF 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Hammarby Talang's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Vasalund 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arlanda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 August 2026, finished Hammarby Talang 5–1 Arlanda.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Arlanda and 2.0 for Hammarby Talang. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 56%.
Safer route: Hammarby Talang or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Hammarby Talang to win at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hammarby Talang or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arlanda 0–1 Hammarby Talang. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arlanda16%fair 6.23 · @3.90
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.50
Hammarby Talang65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
2.84Expected goals
0.85Arlanda xG
1.99Hammarby Talang xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Arlanda 0.8 – 2.0 Hammarby Talang expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang?
Our pick is Hammarby Talang or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hammarby Talang 65%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 0–1 Hammarby Talang, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang?
Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
