Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUmeå FC to win ✓47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Piteå vs Umeå FC preview and prediction
The match
Piteå host Umeå FC in the Ettan Norra on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at LF Arena. Piteå are 14th with 27 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Umeå FC sit 8th on 43 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Piteå's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to AFC Eskilstuna 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Umeå FC's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Stockholm Internazionale 0–4 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 June 2026, finished Umeå FC 2–0 Piteå.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Piteå and 1.7 for Umeå FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Piteå 32%, draw 21%, Umeå FC 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Piteå 1–1 Umeå FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piteå32%fair 3.11 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.30
Umeå FC47%fair 2.12 · @2.10
3.05Expected goals
1.35Piteå xG
1.70Umeå FC xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Piteå 1.4 – 1.7 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Piteå vs Umeå FC?
On our numbers Piteå have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Umeå FC 47%.
How many goals will there be in Piteå vs Umeå FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piteå vs Umeå FC?
Our predicted score is Piteå 1–1 Umeå FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Piteå vs Umeå FC?
Piteå vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at LF Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
