Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArlanda to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Karlberg vs Arlanda preview and prediction
The match
Karlberg host Arlanda in the Ettan Norra on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadshagens IP. Karlberg are 10th with 37 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Arlanda sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Karlberg's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Piteå 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arlanda's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Umeå FC 1–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Arlanda 1–1 Karlberg.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Karlberg and 1.5 for Arlanda. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karlberg 37%, draw 23%, Arlanda 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Karlberg 1–1 Arlanda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karlberg37%fair 2.71 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
Arlanda40%fair 2.48 · @2.38
2.93Expected goals
1.43Karlberg xG
1.50Arlanda xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Karlberg 1.4 – 1.5 Arlanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Karlberg vs Arlanda?
On our numbers Karlberg have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arlanda 40%.
How many goals will there be in Karlberg vs Arlanda?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karlberg vs Arlanda?
Our predicted score is Karlberg 1–1 Arlanda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Karlberg vs Arlanda?
Karlberg vs Arlanda (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadshagens IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.