Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarlberg to win ✓64% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.38
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Karlberg vs Stocksund preview and prediction
The match
Karlberg host Stocksund in the Ettan Norra on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadshagens IP. Karlberg are 10th with 37 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Stocksund sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Karlberg's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Enköping 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Stocksund's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Gefle IF 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Karlberg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Stocksund 0–2 Karlberg.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.4 for Karlberg and 1.3 for Stocksund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Karlberg to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Karlberg 2–1 Stocksund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karlberg64%fair 1.55 · @1.65
Draw13%fair 7.96 · @4.20
Stocksund23%fair 4.33 · @3.90
3.67Expected goals
2.37Karlberg xG
1.30Stocksund xG
66%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Karlberg 2.4 – 1.3 Stocksund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Karlberg to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Karlberg vs Stocksund?
On our numbers Karlberg have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Stocksund 23%.
How many goals will there be in Karlberg vs Stocksund?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karlberg vs Stocksund?
Our predicted score is Karlberg 2–1 Stocksund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Karlberg vs Stocksund?
Karlberg vs Stocksund (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadshagens IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
