Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIF Karlstad to win ✓64% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.95
Järfälla vs IF Karlstad preview and prediction
The match
Järfälla host IF Karlstad in the Ettan Norra on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Jarfallavallen. Järfälla are 15th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while IF Karlstad sit 7th on 45 points (in the top half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Järfälla's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Stockholm Internazionale 0–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.
IF Karlstad's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Enköping 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
IF Karlstad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Järfälla and 2.0 for IF Karlstad. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Järfälla 21%, draw 15%, IF Karlstad 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was IF Karlstad to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Järfälla 0–2 IF Karlstad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Järfälla21%fair 4.73 · @3.95
Draw15%fair 6.70 · @3.95
IF Karlstad64%fair 1.56 · @1.68
2.99Expected goals
0.99Järfälla xG
2.00IF Karlstad xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Järfälla 1.0 – 2.0 IF Karlstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IF Karlstad to win✓
64%
1.56
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Half-time result
IF Karlstad ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IF Karlstad / FT IF Karlstad✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.95
–
Form
Järfälla – last 6
LWLDLL
1 Aug
vs Stockholm Internazionale
0–4
L
28 Jun
@ Umeå FC
3–1
W
23 Jun
vs Arlanda
0–2
L
18 Jun
@ Hammarby Talang
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Arlanda
2–3
L
8 Jun
vs Stocksund
1–6
L
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
IF Karlstad – last 6
WWLDWW
2 Aug
vs Enköping
2–1
W
24 Jul
vs Örebro Syrianska
4–1
W
27 Jun
@ Arlanda
0–1
L
21 Jun
@ Assyriska FF
2–2
D
13 Jun
vs Gefle IF
2–0
W
10 Jun
@ Eker Örebro
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Järfälla and IF Karlstad.
What is the prediction for Järfälla vs IF Karlstad?
Our pick is IF Karlstad to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Järfälla vs IF Karlstad?
On our numbers Järfälla have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 15% and IF Karlstad 64%.
How many goals will there be in Järfälla vs IF Karlstad?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Järfälla vs IF Karlstad?
Our predicted score is Järfälla 0–2 IF Karlstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Järfälla vs IF Karlstad?
Järfälla vs IF Karlstad (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Jarfallavallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
