Piteå travel to Stadshagens IP in the Ettan Norra on Wednesday 24 June (18:00 WAT) to face Karlberg. Karlberg are 10th with 37 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Piteå sit 14th on 27 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Karlberg's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Vasalund 4–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Piteå's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with AFC Eskilstuna 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.5 for Karlberg and 0.9 for Piteå. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karlberg 70%, draw 20%, Piteå 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Karlberg to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Karlberg 2–0 Piteå. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karlberg70%fair 1.42 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.60
Piteå10%fair 10.20 · @6.25
3.34Expected goals
2.46Karlberg xG
0.88Piteå xG
59%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–09%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Karlberg 2.5 – 0.9 Piteå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karlberg to win✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Double chance
Karlberg or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Half-time result
Karlberg ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karlberg / FT Karlberg✓
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.34
–
Form
Karlberg – last 6
WLWLDL
18 Jun
@ Vasalund
4–0
W
14 Jun
vs Hammarby Talang
0–2
L
10 Jun
@ Unik FK
1–0
W
4 Jun
@ AFC Eskilstuna
2–3
L
31 May
vs FBK Karlstad
1–1
D
23 May
@ Stockholm Internazionale
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Piteå – last 6
DLLWDD
21 Jun
vs AFC Eskilstuna
2–2
D
12 Jun
@ Umeå FC
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Enköping
0–2
L
3 Jun
@ Ostra Ersboda
3–2
W
31 May
vs Stockholm Internazionale
2–2
D
24 May
@ Sollentuna
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karlberg and Piteå.
Our pick is Karlberg to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Karlberg vs Piteå?
On our numbers Karlberg have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Piteå 10%.
How many goals will there be in Karlberg vs Piteå?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karlberg vs Piteå?
Our predicted score is Karlberg 2–0 Piteå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Karlberg vs Piteå?
Karlberg vs Piteå (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadshagens IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
