The Ettan Norra sees Arlanda take on Stocksund on Thursday 18 June, kicking off at 18:15 (WAT) at Midgardsvallen. Arlanda are 3rd with 54 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Stocksund sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arlanda's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Järfälla 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stocksund's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Sollentuna 3–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Arlanda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.6 for Arlanda and 1.1 for Stocksund. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 65%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Arlanda 2–1 Stocksund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arlanda66%fair 1.51 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.60
Stocksund12%fair 8.23 · @4.80
3.70Expected goals
2.57Arlanda xG
1.13Stocksund xG
65%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Arlanda 2.6 – 1.1 Stocksund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arlanda to win✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Double chance
Arlanda or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Half-time result
Arlanda ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arlanda / FT Arlanda✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Form
Arlanda – last 6
WWLDDD
13 Jun
@ Järfälla
3–2
W
7 Jun
vs Assyriska FF
2–0
W
1 Jun
vs Gefle IF
2–3
L
23 May
@ FBK Karlstad
0–0
D
18 May
@ AFC Eskilstuna
0–0
D
13 May
vs Karlberg
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Stocksund – last 6
DWLDDL
13 Jun
vs Sollentuna
3–3
D
8 Jun
@ Järfälla
6–1
W
4 Jun
vs Stockholm Internazionale
0–1
L
31 May
@ Umeå FC
2–2
D
23 May
vs Assyriska FF
3–3
D
17 May
vs Piteå
2–3
L
2.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arlanda and Stocksund.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Arlanda vs Stocksund?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stocksund 12%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Stocksund?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Stocksund?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 2–1 Stocksund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Stocksund?
Arlanda vs Stocksund (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
