Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUmeå FC to win ✓62% · @1.55
Double chanceUmeå FC or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Umeå FC vs Piteå preview and prediction
The match
Umeå FC host Piteå in the Ettan Norra on Friday 12 June, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Umea Energi Arena. Umeå FC are 8th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Piteå sit 14th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Umeå FC's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Sollentuna 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Piteå's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Enköping 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Umeå FC and 1.1 for Piteå. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Umeå FC 62%, draw 22%, Piteå 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Umeå FC to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Umeå FC 2–1 Piteå. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Umeå FC62%fair 1.62 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @4.00
Piteå16%fair 6.28 · @4.75
3.24Expected goals
2.18Umeå FC xG
1.05Piteå xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Umeå FC 2.2 – 1.1 Piteå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Umeå FC to win✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Double chance
Umeå FC or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.62
Half-time result
Umeå FC ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Umeå FC / FT Umeå FC✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Umeå FC – last 6
DDLDWD
7 Jun
@ Sollentuna
1–1
D
31 May
vs Stocksund
2–2
D
24 May
vs IF Karlstad
0–2
L
17 May
@ FBK Karlstad
1–1
D
14 May
@ Assyriska FF
5–1
W
9 May
vs Gefle IF
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Piteå – last 6
LWDDWL
7 Jun
vs Enköping
0–2
L
3 Jun
@ Ostra Ersboda
3–2
W
31 May
vs Stockholm Internazionale
2–2
D
24 May
@ Sollentuna
2–2
D
17 May
@ Stocksund
3–2
W
14 May
vs FBK Karlstad
1–5
L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Umeå FC and Piteå.
Our pick is Umeå FC to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Umeå FC vs Piteå?
On our numbers Umeå FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Piteå 16%.
How many goals will there be in Umeå FC vs Piteå?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Umeå FC vs Piteå?
Our predicted score is Umeå FC 2–1 Piteå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Umeå FC vs Piteå?
Umeå FC vs Piteå (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Umea Energi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
