Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Arlanda to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArlanda to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceArlanda or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.34
Järfälla vs Arlanda preview and prediction
The match
The Ettan Norra sees Järfälla take on Arlanda on Saturday 13 June, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Jarfallavallen. Järfälla are 15th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Arlanda sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Järfälla's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Stocksund 1–6 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Arlanda's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Assyriska FF 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Järfälla and 2.0 for Arlanda. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Järfälla 17%, draw 21%, Arlanda 63%.
Safer route: Arlanda or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Arlanda to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arlanda or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Järfälla 0–2 Arlanda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Järfälla17%fair 5.91 · @3.90
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.70
Arlanda63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
2.93Expected goals
0.93Järfälla xG
2.00Arlanda xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Järfälla 0.9 – 2.0 Arlanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arlanda to win✓
63%
1.60
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Arlanda or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Arlanda ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arlanda / FT Arlanda✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.34
–
Form
Järfälla – last 4
LLWL
8 Jun
vs Stocksund
1–6
L
3 Jun
@ Vasalund
1–3
L
23 May
vs Gefle IF
4–0
W
13 May
vs Enköping
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Arlanda – last 6
WLDDDD
7 Jun
vs Assyriska FF
2–0
W
1 Jun
vs Gefle IF
2–3
L
23 May
@ FBK Karlstad
0–0
D
18 May
@ AFC Eskilstuna
0–0
D
13 May
vs Karlberg
1–1
D
9 May
vs Sollentuna
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Järfälla and Arlanda.
Our pick is Arlanda or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Järfälla vs Arlanda?
On our numbers Järfälla have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arlanda 63%.
How many goals will there be in Järfälla vs Arlanda?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Järfälla vs Arlanda?
Our predicted score is Järfälla 0–2 Arlanda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Järfälla vs Arlanda?
Järfälla vs Arlanda (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Jarfallavallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
