Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJärfälla to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.98
Järfälla vs Stocksund preview and prediction
The match
Stocksund travel to Jarfallavallen in the Ettan Norra on Monday 8 June (18:30 WAT) to face Järfälla. Järfälla are 15th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Stocksund sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Järfälla's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Vasalund 1–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Stocksund's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Stockholm Internazionale 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Järfälla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.4 for Järfälla and 1.4 for Stocksund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Järfälla to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Järfälla 2–1 Stocksund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Järfälla64%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw12%fair 8.35 · @4.20
Stocksund24%fair 4.23 · @3.70
3.77Expected goals
2.42Järfälla xG
1.35Stocksund xG
70%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Järfälla 2.4 – 1.4 Stocksund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Järfälla to win✗
64%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Half-time result
Järfälla ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Järfälla / FT Järfälla✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.98
–
Form
Järfälla – last 3
LWL
3 Jun
@ Vasalund
1–3
L
23 May
vs Gefle IF
4–0
W
13 May
vs Enköping
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Stocksund – last 6
LDDLLD
4 Jun
vs Stockholm Internazionale
0–1
L
31 May
@ Umeå FC
2–2
D
23 May
vs Assyriska FF
3–3
D
17 May
vs Piteå
2–3
L
14 May
@ IF Karlstad
0–1
L
1 May
vs Vasalund
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Järfälla and Stocksund.
Our pick is Järfälla to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Järfälla vs Stocksund?
On our numbers Järfälla have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Stocksund 24%.
How many goals will there be in Järfälla vs Stocksund?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Järfälla vs Stocksund?
Our predicted score is Järfälla 2–1 Stocksund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Järfälla vs Stocksund?
Järfälla vs Stocksund (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Monday 8 June 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Jarfallavallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
