Value bet: Arlanda to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArlanda to win ✗66% · @1.67
Double chanceArlanda or draw ✗87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.01
Arlanda vs Gefle IF preview and prediction
The match
The Ettan Norra sees Arlanda take on Gefle IF on Monday 1 June, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Midgardsvallen. Arlanda are 3rd with 54 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Gefle IF sit 9th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arlanda's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with FBK Karlstad 0–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Gefle IF's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Järfälla 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Arlanda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Arlanda and 0.8 for Gefle IF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arlanda 66%, draw 21%, Gefle IF 13%.
Safer route: Arlanda or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Arlanda to win at 1.67 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Arlanda 2–0 Gefle IF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arlanda66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.65
Gefle IF13%fair 7.81 · @4.40
2.79Expected goals
2.02Arlanda xG
0.77Gefle IF xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Arlanda 2.0 – 0.8 Gefle IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arlanda to win✗
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Arlanda or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.42
Half-time result
Arlanda ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arlanda / FT Arlanda✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.01
–
Form
Arlanda – last 6
DDDDWW
23 May
@ FBK Karlstad
0–0
D
18 May
@ AFC Eskilstuna
0–0
D
13 May
vs Karlberg
1–1
D
9 May
vs Sollentuna
1–1
D
3 May
@ Piteå
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ Enköping
7–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gefle IF – last 6
LDLDLL
23 May
@ Järfälla
0–4
L
17 May
vs Assyriska FF
0–0
D
14 May
@ Vasalund
0–1
L
9 May
@ Umeå FC
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ FBK Karlstad
1–2
L
21 Mar
@ IK brage
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arlanda and Gefle IF.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arlanda vs Gefle IF?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gefle IF 13%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Gefle IF?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Gefle IF?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 2–0 Gefle IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Gefle IF?
Arlanda vs Gefle IF (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
