IF Karlstad travel to Umea Energi Arena in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 24 May (12:00 WAT) to face Umeå FC. Umeå FC are 8th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while IF Karlstad sit 7th on 45 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Umeå FC's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with FBK Karlstad 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
IF Karlstad's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Vasalund 5–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Umeå FC and 1.5 for IF Karlstad. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Umeå FC 36%, draw 21%, IF Karlstad 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Umeå FC 1–1 IF Karlstad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Umeå FC36%fair 2.80 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
IF Karlstad43%fair 2.33 · @2.05
2.79Expected goals
1.32Umeå FC xG
1.48IF Karlstad xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Umeå FC 1.3 – 1.5 IF Karlstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IF Karlstad to win✓
43%
2.33
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IF Karlstad / FT IF Karlstad✓
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.05
–
Form
Umeå FC – last 6
DWDWLL
17 May
@ FBK Karlstad
1–1
D
14 May
@ Assyriska FF
5–1
W
9 May
vs Gefle IF
2–2
D
3 May
vs Karlberg
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Vasalund
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
IF Karlstad – last 6
WWWLLL
17 May
vs Vasalund
5–0
W
14 May
vs Stocksund
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Piteå
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Varbergs BoIS FC
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Malmo FF
0–4
L
22 Feb
vs Halmstad
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Umeå FC and IF Karlstad.
What is the prediction for Umeå FC vs IF Karlstad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Umeå FC vs IF Karlstad?
On our numbers Umeå FC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and IF Karlstad 43%.
How many goals will there be in Umeå FC vs IF Karlstad?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Umeå FC vs IF Karlstad?
Our predicted score is Umeå FC 1–1 IF Karlstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Umeå FC vs IF Karlstad?
Umeå FC vs IF Karlstad (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Umea Energi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
