Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFBK Karlstad to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC preview and prediction
The match
Umeå FC travel to face FBK Karlstad in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 17 May (12:00 WAT). FBK Karlstad are 6th with 49 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Umeå FC sit 8th on 43 points (in the top half).
Form guide
FBK Karlstad's last 4: WWLW Most recently they beat Piteå 5–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Umeå FC's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Assyriska FF 5–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FBK Karlstad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for FBK Karlstad and 1.5 for Umeå FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FBK Karlstad 46%, draw 19%, Umeå FC 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: FBK Karlstad 1–1 Umeå FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FBK Karlstad46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.65
Umeå FC35%fair 2.87 · @2.65
3.18Expected goals
1.72FBK Karlstad xG
1.46Umeå FC xG
66%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: FBK Karlstad 1.7 – 1.5 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBK Karlstad to win✗
46%
2.18
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBK Karlstad / FT FBK Karlstad✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Form
FBK Karlstad – last 4
WWLW
14 May
@ Piteå
5–1
W
3 Apr
vs Gefle IF
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Trollhättan
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs IFK Skövde
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Umeå FC – last 6
WDWLLL
14 May
@ Assyriska FF
5–1
W
9 May
vs Gefle IF
2–2
D
3 May
vs Karlberg
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Vasalund
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Arlanda
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FBK Karlstad and Umeå FC.
What is the prediction for FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
On our numbers FBK Karlstad have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Umeå FC 35%.
How many goals will there be in FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
Our predicted score is FBK Karlstad 1–1 Umeå FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
