Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Umeå FC to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUmeå FC to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Vasalund vs Umeå FC preview and prediction
The match
The Ettan Norra sees Vasalund take on Umeå FC on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Skytteholms IP. Vasalund are 13th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Umeå FC sit 8th on 43 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Vasalund's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Arlanda 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Vasalund and 1.4 for Umeå FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vasalund 38%, draw 23%, Umeå FC 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Umeå FC to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Vasalund 1–1 Umeå FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vasalund38%fair 2.62 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.20
Umeå FC39%fair 2.57 · @2.80
2.75Expected goals
1.37Vasalund xG
1.38Umeå FC xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Vasalund 1.4 – 1.4 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Umeå FC to win✗
39%
2.57
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Umeå FC / FT Umeå FC✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.31
–
Form
Vasalund – last 6
LLWDWW
3 Apr
@ Arlanda
1–2
L
28 Mar
@ Stocksund
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Enköping
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Hammarby Talang
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Karlberg
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Stocksund
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Umeå FC – last 2
LW
12 Apr
vs Arlanda
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Hammarby Talang
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasalund and Umeå FC.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Vasalund vs Umeå FC?
On our numbers Vasalund have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Umeå FC 39%.
How many goals will there be in Vasalund vs Umeå FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasalund vs Umeå FC?
Our predicted score is Vasalund 1–1 Umeå FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vasalund vs Umeå FC?
Vasalund vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Skytteholms IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
