Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUmeå FC to win ✗58% · @1.70
Double chanceUmeå FC or draw ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Umeå FC vs Arlanda preview and prediction
The match
Umeå FC host Arlanda in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Umea Energi Arena. Umeå FC are 8th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Arlanda sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Umeå FC and 1.0 for Arlanda. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Umeå FC 58%, draw 24%, Arlanda 18%.
Safer route: Umeå FC or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Umeå FC 1–1 Arlanda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Umeå FC58%fair 1.71 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.70
Arlanda18%fair 5.68 · @3.80
3.00Expected goals
1.98Umeå FC xG
1.02Arlanda xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Umeå FC 2.0 – 1.0 Arlanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Umeå FC to win✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Double chance
Umeå FC or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Half-time result
Umeå FC ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Umeå FC / FT Umeå FC✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Umeå FC – last 1
W
6 Apr
@ Hammarby Talang
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Arlanda – last 2
WD
3 Apr
vs Vasalund
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Enköping
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Umeå FC and Arlanda.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Umeå FC vs Arlanda?
On our numbers Umeå FC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arlanda 18%.
How many goals will there be in Umeå FC vs Arlanda?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Umeå FC vs Arlanda?
Our predicted score is Umeå FC 1–1 Arlanda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Umeå FC vs Arlanda?
Umeå FC vs Arlanda (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Umea Energi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
