Value bet: Club Sp. San Lorenzo to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Luqueno to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.61
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno preview and prediction
The match
Sportivo Luqueno travel to Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia in the Division Profesional Apertura on Sunday 17 May (21:00 WAT) to face Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
Form guide
Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Libertad Asuncion 0–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sportivo Luqueno's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Libertad Asuncion 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo and 1.5 for Sportivo Luqueno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 32%, draw 22%, Sportivo Luqueno 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Club Sp. San Lorenzo to win at 3.30 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Sportivo Luqueno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Sp. San Lorenzo32%fair 3.10 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Sportivo Luqueno46%fair 2.19 · @2.10
2.65Expected goals
1.18Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.47Sportivo Luqueno xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1.2 – 1.5 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno?
On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sportivo Luqueno 46%.
How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia
