Value bet: Libertad Asuncion to win @ 1.78 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗61% · @1.78
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Libertad Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Libertad Asuncion take on 2 de Mayo on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Form guide
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Sportivo Luqueno 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
2 de Mayo's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Sportivo Trinidense 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Libertad Asuncion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished 2 de Mayo 0–2 Libertad Asuncion.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Libertad Asuncion and 0.9 for 2 de Mayo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Libertad Asuncion 61%, draw 20%, 2 de Mayo 19%.
Safer route: Libertad Asuncion or draw (81%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Libertad Asuncion to win at 1.78 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 1–0 2 de Mayo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad Asuncion61%fair 1.64 · @1.78
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.35
2 de Mayo19%fair 5.20 · @4.30
2.64Expected goals
1.78Libertad Asuncion xG
0.852 de Mayo xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.8 – 0.9 2 de Mayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and 2 de Mayo 19%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–0 2 de Mayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?
Libertad Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
