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Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Arsenio Erico

Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✓44% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.23

Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense preview and prediction

The match

Nacional Asuncion host Sportivo Trinidense in the Division Profesional Apertura on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.

Form guide

Nacional Asuncion's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Club Guarani 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Sportivo Trinidense's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to 2 de Mayo 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.

Sportivo Trinidense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 9 March 2026, finished Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Nacional Asuncion.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Nacional Asuncion and 1.1 for Sportivo Trinidense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Nacional Asuncion44%fair 2.26 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.05
Sportivo Trinidense32%fair 3.08 · @3.25
2.38Expected goals
1.31Nacional Asuncion xG
1.07Sportivo Trinidense xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Nacional Asuncion 1.3 – 1.1 Sportivo Trinidense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNacional Asuncion to win ✓44%2.262.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion ✗24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.23–

Form

Nacional Asuncion – last 6

WDDDWL
4 May@ Club Guarani1–0W
21 Apr@ Sportivo Ameliano1–1D
12 Aprvs Cerro Porteno0–0D
31 Mar@ 2 de Mayo1–1D
27 Marvs Sportivo Luqueno3–2W
19 Mar@ Libertad Asuncion1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sportivo Trinidense – last 6

LWDWWW
1 Mayvs 2 de Mayo1–2L
17 Aprvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo2–1W
13 Apr@ Libertad Asuncion1–1D
7 Aprvs Rubio NU4–0W
2 Aprvs Olimpia2–1W
23 Marvs Deportivo Recoleta3–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Mar 2026Sportivo Trinidense v Nacional Asuncion1–1
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense head-to-head page →

More Division Profesional Apertura predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

On our numbers Nacional Asuncion have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sportivo Trinidense 32%.

How many goals will there be in Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Our predicted score is Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.