Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Cerro Porteno or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cerro Porteno to win @ 1.82 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✗63% · @1.82
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.37
Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Cerro Porteno take on Club Guarani on Tuesday 12 May, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at General Pablo Rojas.
Form guide
Cerro Porteno's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Junior 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Club Guarani's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Nacional Asuncion 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Cerro Porteno and 0.7 for Club Guarani. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cerro Porteno 63%, draw 25%, Club Guarani 12%.
Safer route: Cerro Porteno or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Cerro Porteno to win at 1.82 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cerro Porteno or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cerro Porteno 1–0 Club Guarani. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro Porteno63%fair 1.60 · @1.82
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.35
Club Guarani12%fair 8.30 · @4.20
2.42Expected goals
1.76Cerro Porteno xG
0.66Club Guarani xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.8 – 0.7 Club Guarani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Porteno to win✗
63%
1.60
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Cerro Porteno or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Cerro Porteno ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.37
–
Form
Cerro Porteno – last 6
WLDDWD
8 May
@ Junior
1–0
W
3 May
@ Deportivo Recoleta
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Palmeiras
1–1
D
25 Apr
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
14 Apr
vs Junior
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Nacional Asuncion
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Club Guarani – last 6
LLWWDW
4 May
vs Nacional Asuncion
0–1
L
11 Apr
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Rubio NU
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerro Porteno and Club Guarani.
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani?
Our pick is Cerro Porteno or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani?
On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Club Guarani 12%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani?
Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 1–0 Club Guarani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani?
Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at General Pablo Rojas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · General Pablo Rojas
