Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Olimpia take on Sportivo Ameliano on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb.
Form guide
Olimpia's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Vasco DA Gama 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Ameliano's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Cerro Porteno 1–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sportivo Ameliano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Olimpia and 0.8 for Sportivo Ameliano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Olimpia 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olimpia59%fair 1.69 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.45
Sportivo Ameliano20%fair 5.12 · @4.90
2.37Expected goals
1.61Olimpia xG
0.77Sportivo Ameliano xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Olimpia 1.6 – 0.8 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olimpia to win✗
59%
1.69
1.68
Double chance
Olimpia or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olimpia / FT Olimpia✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.67
–
Form
Olimpia – last 6
LLDWLW
30 Apr
@ Vasco DA Gama
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Libertad Asuncion
2–3
L
16 Apr
vs Barracas Central
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ A. Italiano
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sportivo Ameliano – last 6
DDWWWW
25 Apr
@ Cerro Porteno
1–1
D
21 Apr
vs Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ 2 de Mayo
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Libertad Asuncion
2–0
W
24 Mar
@ Rubio NU
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olimpia and Sportivo Ameliano.
What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
On our numbers Olimpia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sportivo Ameliano 20%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our predicted score is Olimpia 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb
