Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Guarani to win ✗41% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.45
Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Club Guarani take on Nacional Asuncion on Monday 4 May, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Rogelio Silvino Livieres.
Form guide
Club Guarani's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nacional Asuncion's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Club Guarani arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Club Guarani and 1.1 for Nacional Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Guarani 41%, draw 25%, Nacional Asuncion 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Club Guarani 1–1 Nacional Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Guarani41%fair 2.43 · @2.44
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.05
Nacional Asuncion34%fair 2.92 · @2.85
2.36Expected goals
1.25Club Guarani xG
1.11Nacional Asuncion xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Club Guarani 1.3 – 1.1 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Guarani to win✗
41%
2.43
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Guarani / FT Club Guarani✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.45
–
Form
Club Guarani – last 6
LWWDWD
11 Apr
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Rubio NU
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
3–1
W
16 Mar
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nacional Asuncion – last 6
DDDWLD
21 Apr
@ Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Cerro Porteno
0–0
D
31 Mar
@ 2 de Mayo
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Sportivo Luqueno
3–2
W
19 Mar
@ Libertad Asuncion
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Guarani and Nacional Asuncion.
What is the prediction for Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Club Guarani have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nacional Asuncion 34%.
How many goals will there be in Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Club Guarani 1–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rogelio Silvino Livieres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Rogelio Silvino Livieres
