Value bet: Olimpia to win @ 2.32 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlimpia to win ✗47% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.78
Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia preview and prediction
The match
Olimpia travel to Estadio Tigo La Huerta in the Division Profesional Apertura on Sunday 26 April (00:00 WAT) to face Libertad Asuncion.
Form guide
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Rubio NU 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Olimpia's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Barracas Central 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Olimpia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 February 2026, finished Olimpia 1–0 Libertad Asuncion.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Libertad Asuncion and 1.4 for Olimpia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Olimpia to win at 2.32 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Olimpia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad Asuncion30%fair 3.31 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Olimpia47%fair 2.11 · @2.32
2.35Expected goals
1.00Libertad Asuncion xG
1.35Olimpia xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–29%
0–29%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.0 – 1.4 Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Olimpia 47%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia?
Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
2 de Mayo
Club Guarani