Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✗60% · @1.69
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.34
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Cerro Porteno take on Sportivo Ameliano on Saturday 25 April, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at General Pablo Rojas.
Form guide
Cerro Porteno's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Junior 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Ameliano's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Nacional Asuncion 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 February 2026, finished Sportivo Ameliano 0–1 Cerro Porteno.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Cerro Porteno and 0.7 for Sportivo Ameliano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Cerro Porteno 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro Porteno60%fair 1.66 · @1.69
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.35
Sportivo Ameliano19%fair 5.33 · @5.00
2.31Expected goals
1.59Cerro Porteno xG
0.72Sportivo Ameliano xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.6 – 0.7 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?
On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sportivo Ameliano 19%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at General Pablo Rojas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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