Value bet: Sportivo Trinidense to win @ 1.79 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Trinidense to win ✓61% · @1.79
Double chanceSportivo Trinidense or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.70
Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo preview and prediction
The match
Club Sp. San Lorenzo travel to face Sportivo Trinidense in the Division Profesional Apertura on Friday 17 April (21:00 WAT).
Form guide
Sportivo Trinidense's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Libertad Asuncion 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Club Guarani 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sportivo Trinidense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 February 2026, finished Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Sportivo Trinidense and 0.7 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sportivo Trinidense 61%, draw 24%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 15%.
Safer route: Sportivo Trinidense or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Sportivo Trinidense to win at 1.79 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sportivo Trinidense 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Trinidense61%fair 1.64 · @1.79
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.25
Club Sp. San Lorenzo15%fair 6.55 · @4.45
2.44Expected goals
1.72Sportivo Trinidense xG
0.73Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sportivo Trinidense 1.7 – 0.7 Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Sportivo Trinidense have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Trinidense 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay
