Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Sportivo Ameliano to win @ 2.60 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Ameliano to win ✗44% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
Nacional Asuncion travel to Estadio Jose Tomas Silva in the Division Profesional Apertura on Tuesday 21 April (00:30 WAT) to face Sportivo Ameliano.
Form guide
Sportivo Ameliano's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat 2 de Mayo 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Nacional Asuncion's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Cerro Porteno 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Sportivo Ameliano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.0 for Nacional Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sportivo Ameliano 44%, draw 24%, Nacional Asuncion 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Sportivo Ameliano to win at 2.60 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Nacional Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Ameliano44%fair 2.28 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.90
Nacional Asuncion32%fair 3.09 · @2.78
2.23Expected goals
1.23Sportivo Ameliano xG
1.00Nacional Asuncion xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sportivo Ameliano 1.2 – 1.0 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Sportivo Ameliano have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nacional Asuncion 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Tomas Silva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Jose Tomas Silva
