Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani preview and prediction
The match
Club Sp. San Lorenzo host Club Guarani in the Division Profesional Apertura on Saturday 11 April, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Gunther Vogel.
Form guide
Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Deportivo Recoleta 2–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Club Guarani's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Libertad Asuncion 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Club Guarani arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.0 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo and 1.6 for Club Guarani. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 26%, draw 22%, Club Guarani 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Club Guarani. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Sp. San Lorenzo26%fair 3.88 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Club Guarani52%fair 1.91 · @1.98
2.57Expected goals
1.00Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.57Club Guarani xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–112%
0–29%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1.0 – 1.6 Club Guarani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Guarani to win✗
52%
1.91
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Guarani / FT Club Guarani✗
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.31
–
Form
Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 6
LLLDDL
5 Apr
@ Deportivo Recoleta
2–4
L
1 Apr
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Sportivo Luqueno
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Libertad Asuncion
0–7
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Club Guarani – last 6
WWDWDL
6 Apr
vs Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Rubio NU
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
3–1
W
16 Mar
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Juventud
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Sp. San Lorenzo and Club Guarani.
What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Guarani 52%.
How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Club Guarani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gunther Vogel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Gunther Vogel
