Value bet: Sportivo Trinidense to win @ 3.65 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗44% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.28
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Libertad Asuncion take on Sportivo Trinidense on Monday 13 April, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Form guide
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to UCV 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sportivo Trinidense's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Rubio NU 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Sportivo Trinidense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Libertad Asuncion and 1.1 for Sportivo Trinidense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Sportivo Trinidense to win at 3.65 – 34% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad Asuncion44%fair 2.26 · @1.98
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Sportivo Trinidense34%fair 2.97 · @3.65
2.37Expected goals
1.29Libertad Asuncion xG
1.08Sportivo Trinidense xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.3 – 1.1 Sportivo Trinidense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✗
44%
2.26
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.28
–
Form
Libertad Asuncion – last 6
LLWLLW
9 Apr
@ UCV
1–3
L
6 Apr
@ Club Guarani
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
1–0
W
28 Mar
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Cerro Porteno
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sportivo Trinidense – last 6
WWWDLD
7 Apr
vs Rubio NU
4–0
W
2 Apr
vs Olimpia
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
3–2
W
20 Mar
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad Asuncion and Sportivo Trinidense.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sportivo Trinidense 34%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
