2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Sportivo Ameliano to win @ 2.36 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Ameliano to win ✓46% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.46
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano preview and prediction
The match
2 de Mayo host Sportivo Ameliano in the Division Profesional Apertura on Friday 10 April, with kick-off at 22:15 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti.
Form guide
2 de Mayo's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Cerro Porteno 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sportivo Ameliano's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Club Sp. San Lorenzo 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Sportivo Ameliano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Sportivo Ameliano 3–0 2 de Mayo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for 2 de Mayo and 1.3 for Sportivo Ameliano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: 2 de Mayo 31%, draw 22%, Sportivo Ameliano 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Sportivo Ameliano to win at 2.36 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: 2 de Mayo 0–1 Sportivo Ameliano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
2 de Mayo31%fair 3.20 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Sportivo Ameliano46%fair 2.16 · @2.36
2.26Expected goals
0.982 de Mayo xG
1.28Sportivo Ameliano xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: 2 de Mayo 1.0 – 1.3 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano?
On our numbers 2 de Mayo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sportivo Ameliano 46%.
How many goals will there be in 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our predicted score is 2 de Mayo 0–1 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano?
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 22:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti
