Value bet: Club Guarani to win @ 2.84 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Guarani to win ✓38% · @2.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.44
Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
Libertad Asuncion travel to Estadio Rogelio Silvino Livieres in the Division Profesional Apertura on Monday 6 April (00:30 WAT) to face Club Guarani.
Form guide
Club Guarani's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Rubio NU 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Deportivo Recoleta 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Libertad Asuncion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Club Guarani and 1.2 for Libertad Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Guarani 38%, draw 24%, Libertad Asuncion 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Club Guarani to win at 2.84 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Club Guarani 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Guarani38%fair 2.63 · @2.84
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
Libertad Asuncion38%fair 2.66 · @2.42
2.50Expected goals
1.25Club Guarani xG
1.25Libertad Asuncion xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Club Guarani 1.3 – 1.2 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Guarani to win✓
38%
2.63
2.84 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Guarani / FT Club Guarani✓
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.44
–
Form
Club Guarani – last 6
WDWDLL
1 Apr
@ Rubio NU
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
3–1
W
16 Mar
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Juventud
1–2
L
23 Feb
@ Sportivo Luqueno
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Libertad Asuncion – last 6
WLLWWW
31 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
1–0
W
28 Mar
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Cerro Porteno
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ 2 de Mayo
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Guarani and Libertad Asuncion.
What is the prediction for Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Club Guarani have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Libertad Asuncion 38%.
How many goals will there be in Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Club Guarani 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion?
Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rogelio Silvino Livieres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Rogelio Silvino Livieres
