Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.35
Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo preview and prediction
The match
Cerro Porteno host Club Sp. San Lorenzo in the Division Profesional Apertura on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio General Pablo Rojas.
Form guide
Cerro Porteno's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Libertad Asuncion 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with 2 de Mayo 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Cerro Porteno arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Cerro Porteno and 0.7 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cerro Porteno 65%, draw 19%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 15%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cerro Porteno 2–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro Porteno65%fair 1.53 · @1.27
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.60
Club Sp. San Lorenzo15%fair 6.48 · @11.50
2.62Expected goals
1.87Cerro Porteno xG
0.75Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.9 – 0.7 Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Porteno to win✓
65%
1.53
1.27
Double chance
Cerro Porteno or draw✓
85%
1.18
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Cerro Porteno ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.35
–
Form
Cerro Porteno – last 6
WLWWWL
22 Mar
@ Libertad Asuncion
3–2
W
18 Mar
@ Rubio NU
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Sportivo Trinidense
2–1
W
2 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Sportivo Ameliano
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 5
DDLLD
17 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Sportivo Luqueno
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Libertad Asuncion
0–7
L
26 Feb
@ Rubio NU
0–2
L
19 Feb
vs Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerro Porteno and Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 2–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Pablo Rojas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Club Guarani0
Sportivo Trinidense0