Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 3.45 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Trinidense to win ✓47% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.74
Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Sportivo Trinidense take on Deportivo Recoleta on Monday 23 March, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Martin Torres.
Form guide
Sportivo Trinidense's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Deportivo Recoleta's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Club Guarani 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Deportivo Recoleta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.0 for Deportivo Recoleta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Deportivo Recoleta to win at 3.45 – 31% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Trinidense47%fair 2.15 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.15
Deportivo Recoleta31%fair 3.20 · @3.45
2.32Expected goals
1.32Sportivo Trinidense xG
1.00Deportivo Recoleta xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Sportivo Trinidense 1.3 – 1.0 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Trinidense to win✓
47%
2.15
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Trinidense / FT Sportivo Trinidense✓
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.74
–
Form
Sportivo Trinidense – last 6
DLDLLD
20 Mar
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Olimpia
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ 2 de Mayo
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Deportivo Recoleta – last 5
LDLDW
19 Mar
@ Club Guarani
1–3
L
10 Mar
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
27 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ 2 de Mayo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Trinidense and Deportivo Recoleta.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers Sportivo Trinidense have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Recoleta 31%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martin Torres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Martin Torres
Sportivo Luqueno0
2 de Mayo2