Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Rubio NU to win @ 2.78 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRubio NU to win ✗38% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano preview and prediction
The match
Sportivo Ameliano travel to Estadio La Arboleda in the Division Profesional Apertura on Tuesday 24 March (00:30 WAT) to face Rubio NU.
Form guide
Rubio NU's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Cerro Porteno 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Ameliano's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Rubio NU arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Rubio NU and 0.9 for Sportivo Ameliano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rubio NU 38%, draw 26%, Sportivo Ameliano 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Rubio NU to win at 2.78 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Rubio NU 0–0 Sportivo Ameliano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rubio NU38%fair 2.62 · @2.78
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.82
Sportivo Ameliano36%fair 2.80 · @2.66
1.94Expected goals
1.00Rubio NU xG
0.95Sportivo Ameliano xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Rubio NU 1.0 – 0.9 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rubio NU to win✗
38%
2.62
2.78 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
Rubio NU – last 5
WLWWW
18 Mar
vs Cerro Porteno
2–0
W
9 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sportivo Ameliano – last 6
DDDLDW
20 Mar
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Club Guarani
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Deportivo Recoleta
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs 2 de Mayo
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rubio NU and Sportivo Ameliano.
What is the prediction for Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
On our numbers Rubio NU have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sportivo Ameliano 36%.
How many goals will there be in Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our predicted score is Rubio NU 0–0 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Arboleda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio La Arboleda
