Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Luqueno to win ✗61% · @1.71
Double chanceSportivo Luqueno or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo preview and prediction
The match
Club Sp. San Lorenzo travel to face Sportivo Luqueno in the Division Profesional Apertura on Friday 13 March (22:30 WAT).
Form guide
Sportivo Luqueno's last 4: LLDW Most recently they lost to Libertad Asuncion 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Libertad Asuncion 0–7 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Sportivo Luqueno arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Sportivo Luqueno and 0.8 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sportivo Luqueno 61%, draw 24%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 15%.
Safer route: Sportivo Luqueno or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 55% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sportivo Luqueno 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Luqueno61%fair 1.63 · @1.71
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.10
Club Sp. San Lorenzo15%fair 6.61 · @5.40
2.57Expected goals
1.80Sportivo Luqueno xG
0.77Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sportivo Luqueno 1.8 – 0.8 Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Luqueno to win✗
61%
1.63
1.71
Double chance
Sportivo Luqueno or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Sportivo Luqueno ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Luqueno / FT Sportivo Luqueno✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
Sportivo Luqueno – last 4
LLDW
8 Mar
@ Libertad Asuncion
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Club Guarani
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 3
LLD
3 Mar
vs Libertad Asuncion
0–7
L
26 Feb
@ Rubio NU
0–2
L
19 Feb
vs Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Luqueno and Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Sportivo Luqueno have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Luqueno 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay
