2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Libertad Asuncion or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Libertad Asuncion to win @ 1.82 – our chance 65% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓65% · @1.82
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.17
2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees 2 de Mayo take on Libertad Asuncion on Saturday 14 March, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti.
Form guide
2 de Mayo's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Rubio NU 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Libertad Asuncion's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Sportivo Luqueno 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for 2 de Mayo and 1.8 for Libertad Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: 2 de Mayo 12%, draw 23%, Libertad Asuncion 65%.
Safer route: Libertad Asuncion or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Libertad Asuncion to win at 1.82 – 65% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Libertad Asuncion or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: 2 de Mayo 0–1 Libertad Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
2 de Mayo12%fair 8.01 · @4.30
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Libertad Asuncion65%fair 1.55 · @1.82
2.38Expected goals
0.632 de Mayo xG
1.76Libertad Asuncion xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
0–09%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: 2 de Mayo 0.6 – 1.8 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✓
65%
1.55
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Libertad Asuncion or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Libertad Asuncion ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.17
–
Form
2 de Mayo – last 5
WWLDL
9 Mar
@ Rubio NU
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Sportivo Trinidense
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Deportivo Recoleta
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Sporting Cristal
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Libertad Asuncion – last 4
WWLL
8 Mar
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
7–0
W
26 Feb
@ Olimpia
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 2 de Mayo and Libertad Asuncion.
What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers 2 de Mayo have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Libertad Asuncion 65%.
How many goals will there be in 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is 2 de Mayo 0–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia