Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sportivo Trinidense to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.13
Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
Sportivo Trinidense host Nacional Asuncion in the Division Profesional Apertura on Monday 9 March, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Martin Torres.
Form guide
Sportivo Trinidense's last 4: LLDD Most recently they lost to Olimpia 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Nacional Asuncion's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Deportivo Recoleta 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Nacional Asuncion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.2 for Nacional Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sportivo Trinidense 35%, draw 23%, Nacional Asuncion 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Sportivo Trinidense to win at 3.15 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Nacional Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Trinidense35%fair 2.89 · @3.15
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.05
Nacional Asuncion43%fair 2.34 · @2.25
2.31Expected goals
1.07Sportivo Trinidense xG
1.24Nacional Asuncion xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Sportivo Trinidense 1.1 – 1.2 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional Asuncion to win✗
43%
2.34
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.13
–
Form
Sportivo Trinidense – last 4
LLDD
5 Mar
vs Olimpia
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ 2 de Mayo
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–1
D
19 Feb
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nacional Asuncion – last 3
DDW
27 Feb
@ Deportivo Recoleta
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Cerro Porteno
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Trinidense and Nacional Asuncion.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Sportivo Trinidense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nacional Asuncion 43%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martin Torres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Martin Torres
Rubio NU0
2 de Mayo1