Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 2.92 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Recoleta to win ✗38% · @2.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.43
Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Recoleta host Sportivo Ameliano in the Division Profesional Apertura on Tuesday 10 March, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Roque F. Batelhana.
Form guide
Deportivo Recoleta's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Cerro Porteno 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Sportivo Ameliano's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Cerro Porteno 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Deportivo Recoleta and 1.1 for Sportivo Ameliano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Deportivo Recoleta to win at 2.92 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Recoleta38%fair 2.62 · @2.92
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.05
Sportivo Ameliano37%fair 2.69 · @2.38
2.20Expected goals
1.11Deportivo Recoleta xG
1.09Sportivo Ameliano xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 1.1 – 1.1 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Recoleta to win✗
38%
2.62
2.92 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Recoleta / FT Deportivo Recoleta✗
20%
4.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.43
–
Form
Deportivo Recoleta – last 3
LDW
2 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
27 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ 2 de Mayo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sportivo Ameliano – last 3
LDW
25 Feb
vs Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs 2 de Mayo
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Recoleta and Sportivo Ameliano.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
On our numbers Deportivo Recoleta have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sportivo Ameliano 37%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roque F. Batelhana.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Roque F. Batelhana
