Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Libertad Asuncion or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Libertad Asuncion to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.75
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno preview and prediction
The match
Libertad Asuncion host Sportivo Luqueno in the Division Profesional Apertura on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Form guide
Libertad Asuncion's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Club Sp. San Lorenzo 7–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Sportivo Luqueno's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Rubio NU 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Libertad Asuncion and 0.8 for Sportivo Luqueno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%.
Safer route: Libertad Asuncion or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Libertad Asuncion to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Libertad Asuncion or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad Asuncion60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.60
Sportivo Luqueno18%fair 5.67 · @3.90
2.63Expected goals
1.79Libertad Asuncion xG
0.84Sportivo Luqueno xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.8 – 0.8 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✓
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Libertad Asuncion or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Libertad Asuncion ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.75
–
Form
Libertad Asuncion – last 3
WLL
3 Mar
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
7–0
W
26 Feb
@ Olimpia
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sportivo Luqueno – last 3
LDW
2 Mar
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Club Guarani
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad Asuncion and Sportivo Luqueno.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sportivo Luqueno 18%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo