Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Libertad Asuncion or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Libertad Asuncion to win @ 1.88 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓57% · @1.88
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.30
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
Club Sp. San Lorenzo host Libertad Asuncion in the Division Profesional Apertura on Tuesday 3 March, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Gunther Vogel.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo and 1.6 for Libertad Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 17%, draw 26%, Libertad Asuncion 57%.
Safer route: Libertad Asuncion or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Libertad Asuncion to win at 1.88 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Libertad Asuncion or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Libertad Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Sp. San Lorenzo17%fair 5.73 · @3.95
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.30
Libertad Asuncion57%fair 1.76 · @1.88
2.48Expected goals
0.84Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.64Libertad Asuncion xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.8 – 1.6 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✓
57%
1.76
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Libertad Asuncion or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✓
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.30
–
Form
Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 2
LD
26 Feb
@ Rubio NU
0–2
L
19 Feb
vs Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Libertad Asuncion – last 2
LL
26 Feb
@ Olimpia
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Sp. San Lorenzo and Libertad Asuncion.
What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Libertad Asuncion 57%.
How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gunther Vogel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Gunther Vogel
