Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani prediction & analysis
73%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.38
8/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: Club Guarani to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultNacional Asuncion to win44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.15
Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Nacional Asuncion take on Club Guarani on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.
Form guide
Nacional Asuncion's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Deportivo Recoleta 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Club Guarani's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Juventud 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Nacional Asuncion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Nacional Asuncion and 1.3 for Club Guarani. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nacional Asuncion 44%, draw 22%, Club Guarani 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Club Guarani to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Club Guarani. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nacional Asuncion44%fair 2.29 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Club Guarani34%fair 2.96 · @3.20
2.87Expected goals
1.54Nacional Asuncion xG
1.32Club Guarani xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Nacional Asuncion 1.5 – 1.3 Club Guarani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional Asuncion to win
44%
2.29
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.97
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.15
–
Form
Nacional Asuncion – last 3
DDW
27 Feb
@ Deportivo Recoleta
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Cerro Porteno
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Club Guarani – last 3
LLD
26 Feb
vs Juventud
1–2
L
23 Feb
@ Sportivo Luqueno
2–3
L
19 Feb
@ Juventud
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional Asuncion and Club Guarani.
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
On our numbers Nacional Asuncion have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Guarani 34%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Our predicted score is Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Club Guarani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Arsenio Erico
2 de Mayo1
Sportivo Trinidense0