Value bet: Sportivo Trinidense to win @ 2.36 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Trinidense to win ✗47% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.57
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Sportivo Trinidense take on Sportivo Luqueno on Thursday 26 February, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Martin Torres.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.0 for Sportivo Luqueno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Sportivo Trinidense to win at 2.36 – 47% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Sportivo Luqueno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Trinidense47%fair 2.15 · @2.36
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Sportivo Luqueno29%fair 3.43 · @2.98
2.63Expected goals
1.62Sportivo Trinidense xG
1.01Sportivo Luqueno xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sportivo Trinidense 1.6 – 1.0 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Trinidense to win✗
47%
2.15
2.36 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Trinidense / FT Sportivo Trinidense✗
31%
3.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.57
–
Form
Sportivo Trinidense – last 1
D
19 Feb
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sportivo Luqueno – last 1
W
23 Feb
vs Club Guarani
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Trinidense and Sportivo Luqueno.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno?
On our numbers Sportivo Trinidense have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sportivo Luqueno 29%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martin Torres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Martin Torres
Olimpia1
Libertad Asuncion0
Rubio NU2
Club Sp. San Lorenzo0