Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✗45% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.71
Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Deportivo Recoleta take on Nacional Asuncion on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Roque F. Batelhana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Deportivo Recoleta and 1.4 for Nacional Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Recoleta 32%, draw 23%, Nacional Asuncion 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Deportivo Recoleta to win at 3.35 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Nacional Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Recoleta32%fair 3.12 · @3.35
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Nacional Asuncion45%fair 2.25 · @2.18
2.48Expected goals
1.11Deportivo Recoleta xG
1.37Nacional Asuncion xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 1.1 – 1.4 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional Asuncion to win✗
45%
2.25
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.71
–
Form
Deportivo Recoleta – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ 2 de Mayo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nacional Asuncion – last 2
DW
20 Feb
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Cerro Porteno
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Recoleta and Nacional Asuncion.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Deportivo Recoleta have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nacional Asuncion 45%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roque F. Batelhana.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Roque F. Batelhana
