Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sportivo Ameliano to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✓46% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.01
Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno preview and prediction
The match
Cerro Porteno travel to Estadio Jose Tomas Silva in the Division Profesional Apertura on Wednesday 25 February (22:30 WAT) to face Sportivo Ameliano.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.3 for Cerro Porteno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Sportivo Ameliano to win at 3.70 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sportivo Ameliano 0–1 Cerro Porteno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Ameliano32%fair 3.15 · @3.70
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Cerro Porteno46%fair 2.17 · @1.98
2.25Expected goals
0.98Sportivo Ameliano xG
1.27Cerro Porteno xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sportivo Ameliano 1.0 – 1.3 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Porteno to win✓
46%
2.17
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.01
–
Form
Sportivo Ameliano – last 2
DW
20 Feb
@ Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs 2 de Mayo
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cerro Porteno – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Ameliano and Cerro Porteno.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?
On our numbers Sportivo Ameliano have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cerro Porteno 46%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Ameliano 0–1 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?
Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Tomas Silva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Jose Tomas Silva
