Value bet: Águila to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultÁguila to win62% · @1.75
Double chanceÁguila or draw85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.39
Cacahuatique vs Águila preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Division sees Cacahuatique take on Águila on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Cacahuatique are 9th with 20 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Águila sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Cacahuatique's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to FAS 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Águila's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Izalco 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Águila arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Cacahuatique and 1.8 for Águila. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Águila to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cacahuatique 0–2 Águila. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cacahuatique15%fair 6.81 · @4.40
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.35
Águila62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
2.61Expected goals
0.77Cacahuatique xG
1.83Águila xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cacahuatique 0.8 – 1.8 Águila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águila to win
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Águila or draw
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.35
Half-time result
Águila ahead at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águila / FT Águila
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
14%
7.39
–
Form
Cacahuatique – last 6
LLDWLL
20 Apr
@ FAS
0–3
L
15 Apr
vs Hércules
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Hércules
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Firpo
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Alianza
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Águila – last 6
WWLDWD
22 Apr
vs Izalco
4–1
W
16 Apr
@ Alianza
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Municipal Limeño
0–2
L
1 Apr
vs Fuerte San Francisco
1–1
D
26 Mar
@ Hércules
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cacahuatique and Águila.
What is the prediction for Cacahuatique vs Águila?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cacahuatique vs Águila?
On our numbers Cacahuatique have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Águila 62%.
How many goals will there be in Cacahuatique vs Águila?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cacahuatique vs Águila?
Our predicted score is Cacahuatique 0–2 Águila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cacahuatique vs Águila?
Cacahuatique vs Águila (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Hércules