Municipal Limeño vs Alianza Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 19 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultAlianza to win ✗40% · @2.55

Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.69

Municipal Limeño vs Alianza preview and prediction

The match

Alianza travel to face Municipal Limeño in the Primera Division on Sunday 19 April (02:30 WAT). Municipal Limeño are 8th with 23 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Alianza sit 7th on 26 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Municipal Limeño's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Zacatecoluca 4–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Alianza's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Águila 0–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Alianza 1–0 Municipal Limeño.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Municipal Limeño and 1.4 for Alianza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Municipal Limeño 34%, draw 25%, Alianza 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Municipal Limeño 1–1 Alianza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Municipal Limeño34%fair 2.93 · @2.70

Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95

Alianza40%fair 2.47 · @2.55

2.57Expected goals

1.22Municipal Limeño xG

1.35Alianza xG

58%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

0–110%

1–09%

1–29%

2–18%

0–08%

From our goals model: Municipal Limeño 1.2 – 1.4 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Alianza to win ✗	40%	2.47	2.55
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	75%	1.34	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.74	1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	71%	1.41	1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.87	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.25
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.31	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Alianza / FT Alianza ✗	23%	4.31	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	10%	9.69	–

Form

Municipal Limeño – last 6

WDWLLW

16 Apr	@ Zacatecoluca	4–3	W
10 Apr	@ El Roble	0–0	D
5 Apr	vs Águila	2–0	W
2 Apr	@ FAS	0–2	L
22 Mar	@ Isidro Metapán	0–1	L
19 Mar	vs Platense	2–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Alianza – last 6

LLWWDD

16 Apr	vs Águila	0–2	L
12 Apr	vs FAS	0–2	L
8 Apr	vs Isidro Metapán	3–1	W
5 Apr	vs Hércules	3–2	W
2 Apr	@ Isidro Metapán	0–0	D
29 Mar	vs Platense	3–3	D

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Firpo	20	11	7	2	+20	40
2	Isidro Metapán	20	10	5	5	+6	35
3	FAS	19	9	6	4	+10	33
4	Águila	19	8	6	5	+9	30
5	Inter	19	6	9	4	+7	27
6	Platense	20	7	6	7	+2	27
7	Alianza	20	6	8	6	-1	26
8	Municipal Limeño	20	6	5	9	-1	23
9	Cacahuatique	20	4	8	8	-8	20
10	Atletico Balboa	19	5	5	9	-10	20
11	Fuerte San Francisco	21	3	8	10	-15	17
12	Inca Aruba	19	4	5	10	-19	17

Team

Pts

+20

+10

-1

-1

-8

-10

-15

-19

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Municipal Limeño vs Alianza?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Municipal Limeño vs Alianza?

On our numbers Municipal Limeño have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alianza 40%.

How many goals will there be in Municipal Limeño vs Alianza?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Municipal Limeño vs Alianza?

Our predicted score is Municipal Limeño 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Municipal Limeño vs Alianza?

Municipal Limeño vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes