Águila travel to face Alianza in the Primera Division on Thursday 16 April (02:30 WAT). Alianza are 7th with 26 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Águila sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Alianza's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to FAS 0–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Águila's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Municipal Limeño 0–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 February 2026, finished Águila 0–3 Alianza.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Alianza and 1.2 for Águila. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza 41%, draw 24%, Águila 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Alianza 1–1 Águila. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Águila35%fair 2.85 · @2.90
2.60Expected goals
1.36Alianza xG
1.24Águila xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.4 – 1.2 Águila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Alianza vs Águila?
On our numbers Alianza have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Águila 35%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Águila?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Águila?
Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 Águila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Águila?
Alianza vs Águila (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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