Alianza host Hércules in the Primera Division on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Alianza's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Isidro Metapán 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Hércules's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Zacatecoluca 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Alianza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Alianza and 0.7 for Hércules. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza 74%, draw 18%, Hércules 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Alianza 2–0 Hércules. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza74%fair 1.35 · @1.20
Draw18%fair 5.65 · @4.80
Hércules8%fair 11.97 · @16.00
2.98Expected goals
2.32Alianza xG
0.67Hércules xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Alianza 2.3 – 0.7 Hércules expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza to win✓
74%
1.35
1.20
Double chance
Alianza or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Half-time result
Alianza ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza / FT Alianza✓
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.36
–
Form
Alianza – last 6
DDWLDW
2 Apr
@ Isidro Metapán
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Platense
3–3
D
19 Mar
vs Cacahuatique
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Inter
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
3–3
D
8 Mar
vs Fuerte San Francisco
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hércules – last 6
WLLDLL
1 Apr
vs Zacatecoluca
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Águila
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ FAS
0–4
L
8 Mar
@ Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Firpo
2–3
L
18 Feb
vs Cacahuatique
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza and Hércules.
Our pick is Alianza to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alianza vs Hércules?
On our numbers Alianza have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Hércules 8%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Hércules?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Hércules?
Our predicted score is Alianza 2–0 Hércules, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Hércules?
Alianza vs Hércules (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
